Sky High Expectations for This Stock, But Will Growth Continue for Silicon Motion Technology Corporation (NASDAQ:SIMO)

Silicon Motion Technology Corporation (NASDAQ:SIMO) shares have been experiencing accelerated earnings and sales growth over the past five years.  Over that time frame the firm has seen earnings growth of 8.30% and sales growth of 13.20%.

Stock market investing can be a wild ride. Following the market on a daily basis can be exiting, but it may also bring out strong emotions especially when hard earned money is on the line. Making impulsive stock picks based on day to day market fluctuations can cause second guessing and a lot of future portfolio damage. Investors who are able to create a specific plan and stick to that plan may find themselves in a much better position when the market becomes highly volatile. It can be very challenging to maintain discipline and focus with so much information being released every day. Highly publicized stocks can be a tempting choice as they tend to garner the most attention by media outlets and the investing community. Filtering through the endless sea of data can be exhausting, and investor’s who are able to see through the trees are typically better prepared to make those tough portfolio decisions.

While the firm has enjoyed the upward movement, it’s important to look at analyst expectations and where the company is headed from here.  On a consensus basis, analysts are projecting EPS growth of 1.60% for next year and have a $45.10 one year price target on the stock.   The stock recently traded at $37.00.

 Six Fundamental Characteristics of Great Growth Stocks

#6 Huge Mass Markets – The more potential customers there are, the greater the possibility that both the company, and the investment in said company, will be a success. 

#5 Market Dominance/Barriers to Entry – Look for companies who hold patents.  This is great barrier to entry, ensuring no competition.  Look for companies who dominate the market, blowing away the competition, though market dominance can be harder to measure. 

#4 Accelerating Earnings Growth – If a company’s earnings growth rate increases for two consecutive quarters, their growth is accelerating.  Faster growth is better growth, and a company whose earnings growth rate is accelerating is an attractive investment.

#3 Triple-Digit Revenue Growth – Companies growing their revenues at triple-digit rates (100% or better) are usually smaller and less known, making them attractive for buying by institutions. 

#2 High Profit Margins – In recent decades, high-margin stocks have beaten low-margin stocks by a huge amount. 

#1 Top Notch, Innovative Management – All great managers who led their companies to success usually did so by thinking differently.  There is no surefire and quick measurement of management talent.  When you find a top manager, one with a record of prior success and accolades, you should strike.  Top managers usually find a way to overcome obstacles. 

RECENT PERFORMANCE

Let’s take a look at how the stock has been performing recently.  Over the past twelve months, Silicon Motion Technology Corporation (NASDAQ:SIMO)‘s stock was 7.97%.  Over the last week of the month, it was 7.50%, -9.23% over the last quarter, and  -31.81% for the past six months. 

Earnings Per Share (EPS):

EPS is what each share is worth and indicates how much money their sharehoders would acquire if the company was to pay out all of its profits.  Earnings Per Share is computed by dividing the profit total by its share total.  If a company’s profit is $800 million and there are 40 million shares, then the EPS is $20.  EPS is a fantastic way to compare and contrast companies in the same industry.  When a company shows a steady upwards earnings trend, it is a good indicator that the company will dominate companies with a more volatile earnings trend.

Silicon Motion Technology Corporation (NASDAQ:SIMO)’s EPS is 2.57.  Last year, their EPS growth was -33.20% while their EPS growth over the past five years is 8.30%.  Analysts are predicting Silicon Motion Technology Corporation’s stock to grow 1.60% over the next year and -4.40% over the next five.

Occasionally, investors will find themselves looking at an underperforming portfolio. Sometimes, this may be a case of the portfolio not being properly diversified. Investing too heavily in one stock or sector can cause the balance to tip the wrong way, especially if the overall market takes a downturn. Although there is no one way to protect against tough economic conditions, setting up the portfolio to withstand a prolonged sluggish period can help ease the mind of the investor when markets are in turmoil. Maintaining a large mix of different types of stocks may help the portfolio survive through rough patches down the line. 

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